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Bitcoin went from a penny to $126,000 in less than two decades. Now it's down 48% from the cycle top, and the skeptics are doing victory laps. Here's why they're wrong and when I'd start buying: First, context matters. In prior bear markets, bitcoin fell 85% or more. A 48% drawdown at this stage is actually in li…

Inject this straight into my veins. 🇺🇸

Jack Dorsey just laid off more than 4,000 employees at Block. Nearly half the company. And he blamed AI. The internet ran with it. Wrong take. Here's what actually happened. Between December 2019 and December 2022, Block tripled its headcount from 3,900 to 12,500. That's not AI disruption. That's COVID over-hiring…

Bitcoin went from a penny to $126,000 in less than two decades. Now it's down 48% from the cycle top, and the skeptics are doing victory laps. Here's why they're wrong and when I'd start buying: First, context matters. In prior bear markets, bitcoin fell 85% or more. A 48% drawdown at this stage is actually in li…

Trump just gave the longest State of the Union in modern history. I don't care about the politics. I care about the data. Here's what the numbers actually say about the US economy right now: Truflation, which you know is my preferred real-time inflation tracker, shows inflation dropped from 2.3% to 0.9% over the…

Most assets have been getting hit hard since the Iran conflict began 15 days ago. - Nasdaq down 2%. - S&P down 3%. - Gold down 3.5%. - TLT down nearly 5%. - Bitcoin is up 10%. That single data point is worth thinking about carefully. Bitcoin has spent months trading in tight correlation with software stocks. Ins…