If like me, you've sworn off Twitter, you've missed this incisive assessment of AI by Dan Williams of Sussex:
H/T to Andrew McAfee
๐. ๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ง ๐๐ฑ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐ฆ๐๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ง๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ฅ, ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ข ๐ ๐๐ง๐๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐๐๐ก๐ง๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ฒ. We're building thinking machines! There are strong reasons to think that lessons drawn from previous technologies (e.g., about the pace of diffusion) won't apply, and that AI will pose countless novel challenges for which there is simply no precedent.
๐. ๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ง๐๐ฐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ฌ. Until five minutes ago, all our examples of intelligent systems were living things. So when people think about AI, they typicallyโand typically without realising itโmistakenly import expectations about intelligent living things (e.g., where drives towards self-preservation and competition reflect their distinctive Darwinian design process) into their understanding of how AI is likely to behave.
๐. ๐๐ญ'๐ฌ ๐ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ค๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ "๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ฅ ๐ญ๐๐๐ก๐ง๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ฒ" ๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ "๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ฌ" ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ฅ๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ. It's more likely that AI is an extremely powerful, extremely abnormal technology that will nevertheless not behave like a new species.
๐. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ง ๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ค๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐, ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐๐ฅ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐ง๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ. We should be more cynical about humanity and less cynical about AI. We know with certainty that human beings are often selfish, competitive, power-seeking, deceitful, and hypocritical. Releasing an extremely powerful technology into a world marked by vast inequalities of political and economic power among human beings is where most of the real challenges will arise. Many people aren't thinking clearly about this because their model of "human nature" is shaped by the range of behaviours they encounter in modern liberal democratic capitalist states, where self-interested incentives partly constrain the most sociopathic behaviours people are capable of.